CommissionerEdward

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Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

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Forecasts 0 0 1 1 1
Comments 0 0 1 1 1
Questions Forecasted 0 0 1 1 1
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions
New Prediction
CommissionerEdward
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
100%
Less than or equal to 500
0%
Between 501 and 750, inclusive
0%
Between 751 and 1000, inclusive
0%
Between 1001 and 1250, inclusive
0%
More than or equal to 1251
Why do you think you're right?

The phrasing exhibits a bias through its selective emphasis. 

Files
Why might you be wrong?

Th e facts align with reported events but the reporting has proven to be biased. 

Files
LogicCurve
made a comment:
Even if this were true, the question resolution is based on the ACLED report.  You are forecasting what the ACLED report will state.  
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New Badge
CommissionerEdward
earned a new badge:

My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Badge
CommissionerEdward
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

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