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New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Yes
70%
(0%)
No
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My First Question
Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
Yes
70%
No
Why do you think you're right?
From 2025 to 2029, interest in greater control over artificial intelligence will grow. I believe more organizations will have to conduct audits to ensure the proper use of personal data, ethical standards, and compliance with the legal framework, among other things. Public organizations and sensitive sectors such as healthcare, government, and innovation will seek these audits and may receive tax breaks, although I don't think this will apply to all sectors, and I don't believe it will be elevated to the level of law, either in the United States or the United Kingdom. I do believe that in the future, perhaps in 5 or 10 years, it could be established as law. Currently, ISO standards like 42001:2023 and others are voluntary. A necessary step will be to establish mandatory controls before offering tax incentives for audits. Finally, some organizations may view audits as actions that could hinder innovation. It will not be easy for the government to grant tax incentives in this context. At least not in the short term. @BlancaElenaGG
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Why might you be wrong?
I could be wrong if the use of artificial intelligence grows exponentially.
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Why do you think you're right?
Russian cyberattacks have typically targeted the United States and have been used for disinformation, propaganda, or to influence decisions. However, there are no records of attacks with kinetic effects. Russian hackers maintain a degree of anonymity and use tactics such as phishing, malware, DDoS attacks, and in some cases ransomware, so I don't think a kinetic effect attack will occur within 18 months. @BlancaElenaGG
Why might you be wrong?
I don't think a cyberattack with a kinetic effect is possible against any NATO country; it's more likely to happen in Ukraine.