What will the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score for OpenAI’s highest scoring model be on 31 December 2025?
Started
May 01, 2025 09:30PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC
As a leader in artificial intelligence, OpenAI's models maintain competitive performance across benchmarks in 2025, though their position faces growing challenges from global competitors. Released in April 2025, the o3 and o4-mini models are OpenAI's most capable AI models to date, designed to handle a broad range of tasks including coding, math, science, and visual perception with advanced reasoning capabilities and full tool access (OpenAI, Axios, TechTarget). These models have achieved top scores on some of the benchmarks used by the AI Index report including 93.4% on American Invitational Mathematics Examination 2024 and 20.3% on Humanity’s Last Exam (Vellum). However, OpenAI and U.S. firms face pressure from other countries internationally, as the gap between the top U.S. and Chinese AI models has shrunk significantly over the past year, largely thanks to China’s DeepSeek R1 (Visual Capitalist).
Resolution Criteria:
This question will be resolved using the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index model rankings. The correct score range will be determined using the final, published index value for OpenAI's top-performing model on 31 December 2025. Scores labeled as “estimates” will not be considered.
At the time of question launch, OpenAI’s highest scoring model is o4-mini (high) with a score of 70. Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index scores for all of OpenAI’s models can be seen by using the dropdown box on the top right of the chart to select all models with OpenAI’s logo next to them.