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Science & Technology
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 04:59AM UTC
(11 months)
Forecasting new scientific and technological advancements and their impact on society and governance.
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Biotechnology and Bi... (7)
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Open RAN (4)
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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will human bioengineering activities cause a biological event of high consequence (pandemic, panzootic, or epiphytotic) before 1 January 2030?
Closing
Jan 01, 2030 05:00AM UTC
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24
·
25
10%
Chance
Will the FDA accept an Investigational New Drug (IND) application for a novel drug containing preclinical evidence generated solely from "in silico" studies by 31 December 2035?
Closing
Feb 12, 2025 04:59AM UTC
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46
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57
10%
Chance
[EXPERIMENTAL] Which of the following categories will realize the most commercial adoption of bioelectronics by 31 December 2035?
Closing
Feb 12, 2025 04:59AM UTC
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32
·
40
Will the FDA approve the repurposing of a drug originally indicated for a neurodegenerative disease to also treat traumatic brain injuries by 31 December 2030?
Closing
Feb 12, 2025 04:59AM UTC
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47
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54
21%
Chance
Will any CBRN weapons (chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear) be used by a state actor in an armed conflict by 31 December 2030?
Closing
Feb 12, 2025 04:59AM UTC
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56
·
76
Will a shelf-stable whole blood substitute be FDA approved for human use by 31 December 2030?
Closing
Feb 12, 2025 04:59AM UTC
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48
·
61
7%
Chance
Will a protein of at least 400 amino acids in length be successfully produced in a laboratory setting using automated chemical synthesis and verified by 31 December 2030?
Closing
Feb 12, 2025 04:59AM UTC
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33
·
42
14%
Chance
Will the FDA grant market approval for a brain-computer interface (BCI) with indications for use in able-bodied individuals by 31 December 2030?
Closing
Feb 12, 2025 04:59AM UTC
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46
·
52
5%
Chance
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
Closing
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
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143
·
899
19%
Chance
Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?
Closing
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
·
59
·
448
12%
Chance
1
2
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