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Relative Brier Score
20
Forecasts
0
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Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 42 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| Questions Forecasted | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Wagner Group or Africa Corps deploy to Togo or an additional African country before 1 January 2026?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
35%
(0%)
Togo
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jun 1, 2025 03:38PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
(0%)
Yes
May 1, 2025 to Nov 1, 2025
90%
(0%)
No
May 1, 2025 to Nov 1, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Estonia
10%
(0%)
Latvia
10%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
98%
(0%)
Yes
May 1, 2025 to May 1, 2026
2%
(0%)
No
May 1, 2025 to May 1, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jun 1, 2025 03:38PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
27%
(0%)
Yes
May 1, 2025 to Nov 1, 2025
73%
(0%)
No
May 1, 2025 to Nov 1, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
35%
(0%)
Togo
35%
(0%)
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files