0.004569
Relative Brier Score
1
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0
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Most Active Topics:
Geopolitical Security
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Why do you think you're right?
China currently lacks the military capacity and political willpower to pull of a successful invasion or blockade if the US comes to Taiwan's aid.
Why might you be wrong?
It is unlikely, but if China gets the sense that the Trump administration may not come to Taiwan's aid, they could implement a (partial) blockade of the island.