1.065708
Relative Brier Score
177
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 5 | 177 | 177 | 1258 |
| Comments | 0 | 2 | 79 | 79 | 568 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 5 | 48 | 48 | 230 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 |
| Definitions | |||||
Why do you think you're right?
Updating my forecast considering there are no changes in the information provided by News from the region
Why might you be wrong?
A sudden change in the geopolitical trend in the area
Why do you think you're right?
Updating my forecast taking into consideration latest news
Why might you be wrong?
Considering that new agreements from Third Parties can help to make the cease fire to last longer than predicted
Star Commenter - Nov 2025
Why do you think you're right?
Not likely by mid 2026 at least with what we know already
Why might you be wrong?
As mentioned in other questions, a change in geopolitical landscape could motivate a change in this result
Why do you think you're right?
At least before mid 2026, not likely so far
Why might you be wrong?
A change in geopolitical landscape could ignite a change in my prediction