RAND Forecasting Initiative

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 01, 2025 03:07PM UTC
(5 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	4%	Dec 1, 2025 to Jun 1, 2027	Mar 1, 2026	6%	-2%	+0%
No	96%	Dec 1, 2025 to Jun 1, 2027	Mar 1, 2026	94%	+2%	+0%

Forecast Count:
15 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 04, 2025 11:28AM UTC
(2 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $1 billion	82%	84%	-2%	+0%
More than or equal to $1 billion but less than $1.2 billion	14%	11%	+3%	+0%
More than or equal to $1.2 billion but less than $1.4 billion	3%	3%	+0%	+0%
More than or equal to $1.4 billion but less than $1.6 billion	1%	2%	-1%	0%
More than or equal to $1.6 billion	0%	0%	+0%	0%

Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 04, 2025 11:41AM UTC
(2 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $350 million	41%	42%	-1%	-1%
More than or equal to $350 million but less than $450 million	38%	35%	+3%	+1%
More than or equal to $450 million but less than $550 million	16%	15%	+1%	+0%
More than or equal to $550 million but less than $650 million	4%	5%	-1%	0%
More than or equal to $650 million	1%	2%	-1%	+0%

Forecast Count:
67 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 04, 2025 04:33PM UTC
(2 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Estonia	1%	3%	-2%	0%
Latvia	1%	2%	-1%	0%
Lithuania	1%	3%	-2%	0%

Forecast Count:
27 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 04, 2025 06:20PM UTC
(2 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025	0%	0%	+0%	0%
1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025	0%	0%	+0%	0%
1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025	0%	0%	+0%	0%
1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025	1%	2%	-1%	+0%
Not before 2026	99%	98%	+1%	+0%

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 06, 2025 12:58PM UTC
(4 hours ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
19	0%	0%	+0%	0%
18	0%	1%	-1%	+0%
17	1%	1%	+0%	+0%
16 or fewer	99%	99%	+0%	+0%

Forecast Count:
48 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 06, 2025 01:29PM UTC
(3 hours ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 62%	0%	0%	+0%	0%
More than or equal to 62% but less than 66%	0%	0%	+0%	0%
More than or equal to 66% but less than 70%	0%	4%	-4%	+0%
More than or equal to 70% but less than 74%	100%	96%	+4%	+0%
More than or equal to 74%	0%	0%	+0%	0%

ctsats