Time running out
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 13 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(-22%)
Yes
97%
(+22%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
The unexpected
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
80%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Accelerating technical progress generally, coordinated international efforts, and convergence of enabling technologies.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Complexity of true cellular life, resolution criteria are very strict, and safety, ethical and regulatory hurdles
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
Yes
95%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Tensions about and they seem to have a regular date in the calendar
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Things appear relatively stable there at the moment
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
Yes
95%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Lose lose outcomes , and potential economic failure
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Lone operator
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Stabilised
Why might you be wrong?
Middle East problems