NATO
0.153513
Relative Brier Score
16
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 16 |
| Comments | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Emerging Technology,
Geopolitical Security,
Russia-Ukraine War,
U.S.-China ,
Artificial Intelligence
Most Active Topics:
Open RAN,
Economic Debt,
Cybersecurity,
Russian Disinformation,
East Asia Security
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Estonia
0%
Latvia
0%
Lithuania
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
The world has moved to a chaotic state
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
35%
Yes
65%
No
Why do you think you're right?
With the geopolitical heat rising, this is a key element of the USA’s positioning
Files
Why might you be wrong?
For the reasons given by those above
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(-5%)
Yes
95%
(+5%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Stabilised
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Middle East problems
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(-22%)
Yes
97%
(+22%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Time running out
Files
Why might you be wrong?
The unexpected
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
80%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Accelerating technical progress generally, coordinated international efforts, and convergence of enabling technologies.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Complexity of true cellular life, resolution criteria are very strict, and safety, ethical and regulatory hurdles
Files
Why do you think you're right?
There’s not much in the way of advantages here and plenty of political and frankly economic downsides .
Why might you be wrong?
Global turbulence makes these places more tempting , akin to a geopolitical bar fight .