Toggle navigation
FAQ
See Forecasts
Blog
Join Now
Sign In
hermsmeier
About:
Show more
View All Badges »
Menu
Overview
Forecasts
Performance
Scores
Badges
Following (0)
Followers (0)
Questions
Topics
Seasons
2020 Season
2024 Season
2021 Season
2023 Season
2022 Season
2025 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Emerging Technology
Forecaster Submissions
Formerly on Foretell
Geopolitical Security
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Quickfire Forecasts
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
Biotech
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Emerging Tech - AI
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
MENA
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mirror Life
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russia-Europe
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Jan 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC
By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?
0.066198
Nov 30, 2024 04:59AM UTC
Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?
-0.052247
May 01, 2024 04:01AM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?
0.008477
Feb 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
Will the Center for Strategic and International Studies record a “significant cyber incident” involving quantum computing in 2023?
0.004557
Dec 30, 2023 02:16PM UTC
What percentage of Ukrainian territory will be held by Russia in December 2023?
-0.003731
Mar 17, 2023 02:12PM UTC
Will a European country announce that they are sending fighter jets to Ukraine by 30 April 2023?
0.425669
Files
Remove
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel