Egypt, Jordan and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) tend to be friendly countries towards China, Russia, the United States (US), and the European Union, so its unlikely that any of them will be subject to any kind of sanctions before 30 June 2026.
5.722823
Relative Brier Score
83
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 1 | 1 | 83 | 83 | 152 |
| Comments | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| Questions Forecasted | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20 | 43 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
100%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
It would be probable that the US wanted to show its power in the Middle East, and in consecuence, it could impose sanctions against a state-owned oil or gas entity in Egypt, Jordan or the UAE within the next few months.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025
0%
(0%)
1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025
0%
(0%)
1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025
0%
(0%)
1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025
100%
(0%)
Not before 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 3, 2025 03:04PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
100%
(0%)
No
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 3, 2025 03:04PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
100%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
0%
(0%)
No
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Estonia
0%
(0%)
Latvia
0%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 3, 2025 03:03PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
100%
(0%)
No
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
It´s a fact that some European NATO members (such as France and Germany) will sign new arms contracts with the United States before 31 July 2026 under the argument of its necessity of increasing their defenses against the Russian threat
Why might you be wrong?
The European NATO member could realize that Ukraine has lost the war against Russia and that Moscow poses no threat to them, so any major defense procurement contract wouldn´t be necessary.