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Javretro2000

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Forecasted Questions
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Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
 8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 03, 2025 03:03PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Moldova 100% 6%
Armenia 0% 2%
Georgia 0% 3%
Kazakhstan 0% 1%

Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
 8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 03, 2025 03:03PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 100% 17%
No 0% 83%

Will a U.S. or U.S.-ally satellite be permanently disabled by another country or organization before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 03, 2025 03:03PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 7%
No 100% 93%

Will Wagner Group or Africa Corps deploy to Togo or an additional African country before 1 January 2026?

Forecast Count:
 8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 03, 2025 03:03PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Togo 0% 4%
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations Answer was correct

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
 7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 03, 2025 03:04PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Estonia 0% 3%
Latvia 0% 2%
Lithuania 0% 3%

Will the U.S. federal government enact legislation that substantively regulates or authorizes regulation of artificial intelligence systems or their development before 1 January 2026?

Forecast Count:
 5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 03, 2025 03:04PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 1%
No 100% 99%

Will the European “Coalition of the Willing” deploy forces to Ukraine in 2025?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 03, 2025 03:04PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 1%
No 100% 99%

When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 03, 2025 03:04PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025 0% 0%
1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025 0% 0%
1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025 0% 0%
1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025 0% 2%
Not before 2026 100% 98%

Will China, Russia, the U.S., or the EU publicly announce new economic or trade sanctions that specifically target a state-owned oil or gas entity in Egypt, Jordan, or the United Arab Emirates (UAE) by 30 June 2026?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 03, 2025 03:17PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 2%
No 100% 98%

Will at least two European NATO members sign new, publicly announced major defense procurement contracts (over €1 billion each) with non-European suppliers by 31 July 2026?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Aug 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 01, 2025 09:35PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 100% 79%
No 0% 21%
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