Forecasted Questions
In the next 18 months, will a Russian government cyber attack occur against energy or transportation infrastructure within a NATO country that produces a kinetic effect, causing physical damage or human casualties?
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 20, 2025 11:20AM UTC
(17 days ago)
Nov 20, 2025 11:20AM UTC
(17 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | Nov 20, 2025 to May 20, 2027 | Feb 20, 2026 | 6% | -2% | +1% |
| No | 96% | Nov 20, 2025 to May 20, 2027 | Feb 20, 2026 | 94% | +2% | -1% |