Confirmed previous forecast
1.427014
Relative Brier Score
18
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | 108 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 25 |
| Questions Forecasted | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
91%
(0%)
Less than 30 days
0%
(0%)
30 days
9%
(0%)
31-60 days
0%
(0%)
61-90 days
0%
(0%)
91 days or more
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
40%
(0%)
Yes
60%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
91%
(0%)
Less than 30 days
0%
(0%)
30 days
9%
(0%)
31-60 days
0%
(0%)
61-90 days
0%
(0%)
91 days or more
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
40%
Yes
60%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
@R0s3 if China decides to "buy" African leaders royalty then implementing their policies will be an easy thing
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
91%
(0%)
Less than 30 days
0%
(0%)
30 days
9%
(0%)
31-60 days
0%
(0%)
61-90 days
0%
(0%)
91 days or more
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
