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Following the dramatic events of early January 2026, the possibility of a United Nations peacekeeping operation in Venezuela has moved from a theoretical debate to a central focus of international diplomacy. The country is currently navigating a volatile power vacuum that could destabilize the entire Western Hemisphere.  ​Here is why a UN intervention is being seriously considered:​1. The Arrest of Nicolás Maduro​On January 3, 2026, U.S. Special Forces conducted Operation Absolute Resolve, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife from their compound in Caracas. With Maduro now in a New York jail facing narco-terrorism charges, Venezuela is effectively without its long-time head of state.  ​The Power Vacuum: While Vice President Delcy Rodríguez has been sworn in as interim president, the U.S. has signaled it intends to "run" the country until a "judicious transition" occurs.  ​The UN Need: To prevent Venezuela from becoming a de facto U.S. protectorate, many nations are calling for a neutral UN blue-helmet presence to oversee an actual democratic transition and prevent further unilateral military strikes.​2. The Dominance of Cartels and "Pranes"​For years, large swaths of Venezuela have been controlled not by the central government, but by criminal syndicates, "pranes" (prison gang leaders), and the Cartel of the Suns.​Narco-Terrorism: The U.S. justified its recent raid by labeling the Maduro administration a "narco-terrorist conspiracy." Without a centralized authority, there is a massive risk that these cartels will engage in a bloody civil war to seize control of the country’s remaining resources.  ​Restoring Order: A peacekeeping force would be tasked with disarming these non-state actors and reclaiming territory currently held by criminal organizations that use the country as a hub for global cocaine trafficking.​3. Securing Critical Infrastructure (Oil and Gold)​Venezuela holds the world’s largest proven oil reserves and massive deposits of gold and rare earth minerals.  ​Resource Theft: There are deep concerns that without international oversight, the country’s wealth will be pillaged by local gangs or foreign interests.​Stabilizing the Economy: A UN presence could provide the security necessary for humanitarian aid to flow and for the oil industry to be safely restarted under a legitimate government, preventing a total economic collapse that would trigger another massive migration wave.​4. Preventing a Regional Conflict​The U.S. intervention has drawn sharp condemnation from Russia, China, and Brazil, who view it as a violation of sovereignty.  ​Avoiding "The Great Game": If the U.S. maintains a long-term military presence, rivals like Russia or China might feel compelled to support Venezuelan resistance groups.​The "Blue Buffer": Deploying UN peacekeepers provides a "middle ground"—allowing U.S. forces to withdraw while ensuring that the country does not fall back into the hands of the previous regime or its international allies.

Confirmed previous forecast

Confirmed previous forecast

Confirmed previous forecast

Confirmed previous forecast

Confirmed previous forecast

Confirmed previous forecast

Confirmed previous forecast

Confirmed previous forecast