At this moment of a fragile balacence of power around the world any country wants to disturb it by attacking the U.S. or its allies, so a fatal attack against its satellites are also unlikely before 1January 2027.
5.051
Relative Brier Score
75
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 1 | 75 | 75 | 110 |
| Comments | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | 22 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
100%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
It could be a global confrontation between the great powers of the world, such as Russia, China and the U.S., and serious attacks againts the U.S. and the U.S.-allies satellies would be common.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 3, 2025 03:19PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
100%
(0%)
No
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Togo
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 3, 2025 03:19PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
100%
(0%)
No
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 3, 2025 03:19PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
100%
(0%)
No
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 3, 2025 03:19PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
100%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
0%
(0%)
No
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
With a growing demand for energy from all countries, the use of coal and oil will continue to be indispensable for their economies, so any tax or system that limits the use of these raw materials would be a negative economic measure.
Why might you be wrong?
It´s possible that some country might want to support the environment and adopt some kind of emissions reduction measure by 31 july 2026.