Forecasted Questions
Will a U.S. or U.S.-ally satellite be permanently disabled by another country or organization before 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 22, 2025 05:53PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Sep 22, 2025 05:53PM UTC
(3 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 20% | 7% | +13% | +1% |
| No | 80% | 93% | -13% | -1% |
What will the U.S. Space Force budget be in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(21 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(21 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 22, 2025 05:54PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Sep 22, 2025 05:54PM UTC
(3 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $21.0 billion | 3% | 19% | -16% | +12% |
| More than or equal to $21.0 billion but less than $22.5 billion | 12% | 44% | -32% | +17% |
| More than or equal to $22.5 billion but less than $23.5 billion | 11% | 15% | -4% | -6% |
| More than or equal to $23.5 billion but less than $25.0 billion | 11% | 9% | +2% | -13% |
| More than or equal to $25.0 billion | 63% | 13% | +50% | -10% |
Will Western Asia and North African intra-regional exports equal or exceed 24% of total exports in 2025 or 2026, according to UNCTAD data?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 22, 2025 06:03PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Sep 22, 2025 06:03PM UTC
(3 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 79% | 21% | +58% | +7% |
| No | 21% | 79% | -58% | -7% |