Forecasted Questions
How many of the 19 G20 member countries will have recognized the State of Palestine before 1 Feb 2026?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(8 days from now)
Feb 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(8 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 05, 2026 08:57PM UTC
(19 days ago)
Jan 05, 2026 08:57PM UTC
(19 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| 16 or fewer | 100% | 100% | +0% | +0% |
Will at least two European NATO members sign new, publicly announced major defense procurement contracts (over €1 billion each) with non-European suppliers by 31 July 2026?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Aug 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 05, 2026 08:57PM UTC
(19 days ago)
Jan 05, 2026 08:57PM UTC
(19 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 83% | +17% | -1% |
| No | 0% | 17% | -17% | +1% |