129th
Accuracy Rank

ideatician

About:

I'm a versatile intellectual. I procrastinate a lot currently. I'm something of a philosopher. Peaked in high school academically. Want to write a few books, go into politics.

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Forecasted Questions
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Will Wagner Group or Africa Corps deploy to Togo or an additional African country before 1 January 2026?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(22 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 31, 2025 08:40PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Togo 11% 4%
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations Answer was correct

Will the EU import at least 15 billion cubic meters of natural gas from Russia in any quarter of 2025?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(22 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 31, 2025 08:43PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 2% 1%
No 98% 99%

Will the European “Coalition of the Willing” deploy forces to Ukraine in 2025?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(22 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 31, 2025 08:44PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 1%
No 99% 99%

Will the U.S. federal government enact legislation that substantively regulates or authorizes regulation of artificial intelligence systems or their development before 1 January 2026?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(22 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 31, 2025 09:35PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 2% 1%
No 98% 99%
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