Forecasted Questions
In the next 18 months, will a Russian government cyber attack occur against energy or transportation infrastructure within a NATO country that produces a kinetic effect, causing physical damage or human casualties?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 01, 2025 03:02PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Oct 01, 2025 03:02PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | Oct 1, 2025 to Apr 1, 2027 | Jan 1, 2026 | 6% | -1% | -1% |
| No | 95% | Oct 1, 2025 to Apr 1, 2027 | Jan 1, 2026 | 94% | +1% | +1% |