Forecasted Questions
How many of the 19 G20 member countries will have recognized the State of Palestine before 1 Feb 2026?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(10 days from now)
Feb 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(10 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 17, 2026 01:22AM UTC
(5 days ago)
Jan 17, 2026 01:22AM UTC
(5 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| 17 | 1% | 0% | +1% | +0% |
| 16 or fewer | 99% | 100% | -1% | +0% |
Will Sudan’s Rapid Support Forces retake control over Khartoum city by 31 March 2026?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Apr 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 17, 2026 01:26AM UTC
(5 days ago)
Jan 17, 2026 01:26AM UTC
(5 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
| No | 99% | 99% | +0% | +0% |
Will the FDA have authorized a medical device that incorporates LLM-based functionality by 31 March 2026?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Apr 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 17, 2026 01:36AM UTC
(5 days ago)
Jan 17, 2026 01:36AM UTC
(5 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 3% | -2% | +0% |
| No | 99% | 97% | +2% | +0% |