Just a guess
0.0046
Relative Brier Score
3
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on May 9, 2025 05:10PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5%
Yes
Apr 9, 2025 to Oct 9, 2025
95%
No
Apr 9, 2025 to Oct 9, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Just a guess
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
80%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Trump's policies summoned an economic crisis with unknown consequences. I think it is very improbable for any major changes to happen to the leaderboard in such a time of crisis, every company's value will drop by roughly the same.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Maybe Nvidia reveals some new key development and skyrockets in value, or maybe it can hold on to its market cap better than Apple and Microsoft, thereby becoming the world's most value company.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Why might you be wrong?