Forecasted Questions
What will the U.S. Space Force budget be in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 24, 2025 06:04PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Oct 24, 2025 06:04PM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $21.0 billion | 3% | 21% | -18% | +9% |
| More than or equal to $21.0 billion but less than $22.5 billion | 4% | 43% | -39% | +10% |
| More than or equal to $22.5 billion but less than $23.5 billion | 6% | 14% | -8% | -4% |
| More than or equal to $23.5 billion but less than $25.0 billion | 20% | 9% | +11% | -5% |
| More than or equal to $25.0 billion | 67% | 13% | +54% | -10% |
Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 24, 2025 06:13PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Oct 24, 2025 06:13PM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 17% | -12% | -4% |
| No | 95% | 83% | +12% | +4% |