Forecasted Questions
Will scientists be able to assemble a ribosome in vitro, composed entirely of synthetic proteins and RNA, without the use of cell-derived materials by 2030?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 11, 2026 10:00PM UTC
(15 days ago)
Jan 11, 2026 10:00PM UTC
(15 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41% | 37% | +4% | -1% |
| No | 59% | 63% | -4% | +1% |
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups in the U.S. be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 11, 2026 10:00PM UTC
(15 days ago)
Jan 11, 2026 10:00PM UTC
(15 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $350 million | 2% | 44% | -42% | -12% |
| More than or equal to $350 million but less than $450 million | 49% | 35% | +14% | +2% |
| More than or equal to $450 million but less than $550 million | 33% | 14% | +19% | +6% |
| More than or equal to $550 million but less than $650 million | 15% | 5% | +10% | +3% |
| More than or equal to $650 million | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
How many people will earn research doctorates in microbiology and immunology fields in the U.S. between the 2026 and 2030 academic years?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Aug 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 11, 2026 10:00PM UTC
(15 days ago)
Jan 11, 2026 10:00PM UTC
(15 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 4,499 | 10% | 6% | +4% | +0% |
| Between 4,500 and 4,999, inclusive | 20% | 12% | +8% | +0% |
| Between 5,000 and 5,499, inclusive | 40% | 75% | -35% | +0% |
| Between 5,500 and 5,999, inclusive | 20% | 7% | +13% | +0% |
| More than or equal to 6,000 | 10% | 1% | +9% | +0% |
Will human bioengineering activities cause a biological event of high consequence (pandemic, panzootic, or epiphytotic) before 1 January 2030?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2030 05:00AM UTC
(4 years from now)
Jan 01, 2030 05:00AM UTC
(4 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 11, 2026 10:01PM UTC
(15 days ago)
Jan 11, 2026 10:01PM UTC
(15 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58% | 7% | +51% | +0% |
| No | 42% | 93% | -51% | +0% |