Confirmed previous forecast
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
4
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| Comments | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Less than or equal to 4,499
20%
(0%)
Between 4,500 and 4,999, inclusive
40%
(0%)
Between 5,000 and 5,499, inclusive
20%
(0%)
Between 5,500 and 5,999, inclusive
10%
(0%)
More than or equal to 6,000
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Less than $350 million
49%
(0%)
More than or equal to $350 million but less than $450 million
33%
(0%)
More than or equal to $450 million but less than $550 million
15%
(0%)
More than or equal to $550 million but less than $650 million
1%
(0%)
More than or equal to $650 million
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
41%
(0%)
Yes
59%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
Less than or equal to 4,499
20%
Between 4,500 and 4,999, inclusive
40%
Between 5,000 and 5,499, inclusive
20%
Between 5,500 and 5,999, inclusive
10%
More than or equal to 6,000
Why do you think you're right?
Popular field
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Losing popularity
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
Less than $350 million
49%
More than or equal to $350 million but less than $450 million
33%
More than or equal to $450 million but less than $550 million
15%
More than or equal to $550 million but less than $650 million
1%
More than or equal to $650 million
Why do you think you're right?
Possible
Files
Why might you be wrong?
I don’t know
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Humans are bad
Why might you be wrong?
Bioengineering can be good