Possible
0.286863
Relative Brier Score
6
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Emerging Technology,
Quickfire Forecasts
Most Active Topics:
Biotech,
Mirror Life
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
Less than $350 million
49%
More than or equal to $350 million but less than $450 million
33%
More than or equal to $450 million but less than $550 million
15%
More than or equal to $550 million but less than $650 million
1%
More than or equal to $650 million
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
I don’t know
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
66%
Yes
34%
No
Why do you think you're right?
India recently tested missile system which increased hostility
Files
Why might you be wrong?
May ceasefire calmed tensions
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
41%
Yes
59%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Would require large scientific research advancements which seems unlikely with current trends in funding
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Could be major changes to scientific research approaches in 5 years
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
7%
Less than 600
17%
Between 600 and 629, inclusive
28%
Between 630 and 659, inclusive
32%
Between 660 and 689, inclusive
16%
More than or equal to 690
Why do you think you're right?
Upward trend from May
Files
Why might you be wrong?
ACLED reporting could change
Files
New Badge
Why do you think you're right?
Popular field
Why might you be wrong?
Losing popularity