Confirmed previous forecast
0.142417
Relative Brier Score
21
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | 74 |
| Comments | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| Questions Forecasted | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 19 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 1, 2025 02:30AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 1, 2025 to May 1, 2026
97%
(0%)
No
Nov 1, 2025 to May 1, 2026
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 1, 2025 02:30AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 1, 2025 to May 1, 2026
100%
(0%)
No
Nov 1, 2025 to May 1, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 1, 2025 12:04AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3%
(0%)
Yes
Oct 1, 2025 to Apr 1, 2026
97%
(0%)
No
Oct 1, 2025 to Apr 1, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 1, 2025 12:04AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Oct 1, 2025 to Apr 1, 2026
100%
(0%)
No
Oct 1, 2025 to Apr 1, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Aug 31, 2025 11:53PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3%
(0%)
Yes
Jul 31, 2025 to Jan 31, 2026
97%
(0%)
No
Jul 31, 2025 to Jan 31, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Very unlikely and I did slight adjustment to align with the crowd
Why might you be wrong?
?