Review Question
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups in the EU, UK, and Switzerland be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
| Answer | Initial Probability |
|---|---|
| Less than $350 million | 28% |
| More than or equal to $350 million but less than $500 million | 45% |
| More than or equal to $500 million but less than $650 million | 22% |
| More than or equal to $650 million but less than $800 million | 4% |
| More than or equal to $800 million | 1% |
Author
Description
This question is part of the “biotech” question series exploring biotechnology capabilities related to pandemic preparedness. See similar questions on seed funding for startups in the U.S. and around the world as well as an accompanying blog post for additional context.
Seed funding plays a crucial role in the biotech startup ecosystem, providing early-stage companies with the capital needed to develop innovative technologies and therapies. According to Labiotech, seed funding rounds for biotech startups have shown significant activity in recent years. In 2024, there were multiple seed funding rounds across various months, with amounts ranging from a few million to tens of millions of dollars per round (Labiotech 2024 funding tracker).
The biotech sector continues to attract substantial investment across different funding stages, with seed rounds being particularly important for launching new ventures in areas such as drug discovery, gene therapies, and AI-enabled biotechnology platforms.
Resolution Criteria:
This question will be resolved using Labiotech’s biotech funding tracker. Only investments categorized as "Seed round" under "Funding type" will be counted. You can enter "Seed round" in the search box above the table to see all of the seed funding raised for biotech startups.
Labiotech’s funding tracker for 2024 is available here, and the 2025 tracker is available here. EU, UK, and Swiss startups raised roughly $380 million in seed round funding in 2024. As of 8 August 2025, EU, UK, and Swiss startups raised $119.3 million in seed funding in 2025. This question will be updated to include a link to the 2026 funding tracker when it becomes available.
Note: RFI admins will use the funding amount given in U.S. dollars wherever possible. If funding is listed in another currency without the amount in U.S. dollars, we will use the midmarket conversion rate listed on xe.com for the day the funding was announced, if known, or on the first day of the month if not.
Starts
Aug 14, 2025 09:00PM UTC
Closes
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
Topics
Emerging Technology
Tags
Biotech
This question has been published for forecasting.
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Please see https://www.randforecastinginitiative.org/comments/191656
And if those numbers are global, and not specifically about EU, UK, and Switzerland, I think we need to clarify this explicitly in the question info.
(Comparing my sum with that of @PeterStamp's below, you can already see that at least one of us is mistaken...)
First impression about the bins: repeating those $380m from 2024 for the whole year looks hard. So far we would be on track for lowest bin (extrapolation status quo / 7 * 24 = 443).