NOTE: We changed the resolution source from the "seasonally adjusted" index in the original suggestion to the "non-seasonally adjusted" index, since the NSA version appears to be more commonly cited. We also extended the timeline to July 2027 since 20 point increases in one year are fairly rare.
-0.051653
Relative Brier Score
3
Forecasts
5
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 165 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 25 | 25 | 103 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 43 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 37 |
| Definitions | |||||
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Star Commenter - Sep 2025
Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
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Star Commenter - Aug 2025
Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
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NOTE: We changed "Russia or China" in the original suggestion to "another country or organization" to avoid any potential attribution challenges making it so the question cannot resolve.
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Aug 13, 2025 08:35PM UTC
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