How many global victims of data-leaking ransomware will there be in August 2025, according to Data Breaches Digest?

Started Jun 13, 2025 04:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 01, 2025 03:59AM UTC
Seasons

Cybersecurity researchers predict that global ransomware damage costs will exceed $275 billion by 2031, with attacks predicted to occur every two seconds (Cybercrime Magazine, Cybercrime Magazine). Data Breaches Digest reported there were 528 victims of data leaking ransomware in April 2025 and 965 victims in March. Historical August data shows: 
  • 449 victims in August 2024
  • 398 victims in August 2023
  • 198 victims in August 2022

Resolution Criteria: 
This question will resolve based on the "Total Victims" count reported in Data Breaches Digest's "Data-Leaking Ransomware Report – August 2025."

To find the August report (expected to be available in September):
  • Navigate to the Data Breaches Digest website
  • Access the Archive section on the right-hand side
  • Select 2025 → September → "Data-Leaking Ransomware Report – August 2025"
  • Download the PDF report
  • Locate the "Total Victims" figure (typically found on Slide 2; ensure it is the “global victims" figure)
Resolution Notes

Data Breaches Digest discovered 533 Global Ransomware Victims in August 2025.

https://www.dbdigest.com/2025/09/data-leaking-ransomware-report-august-2025.html

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 250 0%
Between 250 and 349, inclusive 1%
Between 350 and 449, inclusive 4%
Between 450 and 549, inclusive 82%
More than or equal to 550 14%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 122
Average for questions older than 6 months: 61
Number of Forecasts 412
Average for questions older than 6 months: 233
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.062791
2.
-0.062205
3.
-0.054205
4.
-0.052516
5.
-0.045928

Consensus Trend

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