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Geopolitical Security
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 04:59AM UTC
(20 days)
Tracking conflict, diplomacy, and strategic developments that shape international stability and regional order.
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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will Western Asia and North African intra-regional exports equal or exceed 24% of total exports in 2025 or 2026, according to UNCTAD data?
Closing
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
·
30
·
61
21%
Chance
Will China, Russia, the U.S., or the EU publicly announce new economic or trade sanctions that specifically target a state-owned oil or gas entity in Egypt, Jordan, or the United Arab Emirates (UAE) by 30 June 2026?
Closing
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
·
50
·
112
2%
Chance
Will a new multilateral security agreement involving at least three Middle East and North Africa (MENA) states (excluding Iran, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Israel) be publicly announced by 30 June 2026?
Closing
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
·
52
·
156
10%
Chance
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