124th
Accuracy Rank

Carranza

1.777875

Relative Brier Score

381

Forecasts

75

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 26 17 381
Comments 0 0 0 0 159
Questions Forecasted 0 0 9 7 58
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 75
 Definitions


New Prediction
Carranza
made their 9th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
32% (0%)
Kuwait
32% (0%)
Oman
16% (0%)
Qatar
65% (0%)
Saudi Arabia
16% (0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Carranza
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Carranza
made their 7th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Yes, the stockpile will be reduced by 100% to 0 kg
0% (0%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by 50% or more (>0 kg - 61.8 kg)
1% (0%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by less than 50% (>61.8 kg - 123.6 kg)
99% (0%)
No, the stockpile will increase (>123.6 kg)
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Carranza
made their 8th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
32% (0%)
Kuwait
32% (0%)
Oman
16% (0%)
Qatar
65% (0%)
Saudi Arabia
16% (0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Carranza
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Carranza
made their 6th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Yes, the stockpile will be reduced by 100% to 0 kg
0% (0%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by 50% or more (>0 kg - 61.8 kg)
1% (0%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by less than 50% (>61.8 kg - 123.6 kg)
99% (0%)
No, the stockpile will increase (>123.6 kg)
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Carranza
made their 11th forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Apr 1, 2024 11:14PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Mar 1, 2024 to Sep 1, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Carranza
made their 7th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
32% (0%)
Kuwait
32% (0%)
Oman
16% (0%)
Qatar
65% (0%)
Saudi Arabia
16% (0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Carranza
made their 6th forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Apr 1, 2024 11:14PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10% (0%)
Yes
Mar 1, 2024 to Sep 1, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Carranza
made their 8th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
60% (0%)
Less than or equal to 49
22% (0%)
Between 50 and 99, inclusive
11% (0%)
Between 100 and 149, inclusive
7% (0%)
Between 150 and 199, inclusive
0% (0%)
More than or equal to 200
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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