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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year?
Closing
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
110
·
639
12%
Chance
Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
100
·
742
12%
Chance
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
85
·
643
1%
Chance
Will Iran eliminate its stockpile of uranium enriched up to 60% by 31 December 2024, according to the IAEA?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
90
·
982
Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
109
·
957
0%
Chance
Before 1 January 2025, will Iran announce that it will leave the JCPOA ("Iran nuclear deal")?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
106
·
874
1%
Chance
Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?
Closing
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
85
·
889
By 31 December 2024, will uranium enriched to 90% or more be discovered in an Iranian facility, according to the IAEA?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
97
·
977
0%
Chance
Will a JCPOA participant country begin the process of imposing “snapback” sanctions on Iran by 31 December 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
70
·
713
0%
Chance
Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
109
·
1040
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