SPECIAL NOTICE: INFER is now the RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI). Learn more about RFI.
 

How it works:

Step

You submit a forecasting question you’d like to see published on RFI (read the guidance for question submissions).

Step

You, admins, and other forecasters collaborate and iterate on the question details to make sure it's well formed and includes answer options for all possible outcomes.

Step

Forecasters vote on suggested questions to surface topics that are of most interest to the community.

Step

An admin will make a final decision and publish the best questions for forecasting.

Pending Published Archived
Pinned Question Votes Question Author Status Submitted
/ Last Edited
Pinned Question
0
Will UK defence spending reach 2.5% of GDP during this term of the Labour government?
Kuona
Open 10/04/24 04:07pm 10/04/24 04:07pm
Pinned Question
0
Will UK Consumer Price Index inflation exceed 5% at any point in the next 6 months?
Kuona
Open 10/04/24 04:01pm 10/04/24 04:01pm
Pinned Question
1
Will legally binding requirements for screening of both orders and customers for commercial nucleic acid synthesis come into force in the UK before 2027?
Kuona
Open 09/12/24 12:01pm 09/23/24 03:45pm
Pinned Question
2
Will Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes face impeachment by the end of 2025?
olavo_sg
Open 08/17/24 05:34pm 09/12/24 11:52pm
Pinned Question
3
Will Ukraine have control of this point in Sverdlikovo, Kursk Oblast, Russia, on 31 December 2024?
johnnycaffeine
Open 08/12/24 01:14am 09/23/24 03:45pm
Pinned Question
1
Based on Meta's 2024 threat disruption reports, from where will the majority of AI influence operations focusing on the US presidential election originate?
vpsays
Open 07/18/24 04:58pm 09/25/24 04:10pm
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