the us became very unpopular
2.729276
Relative Brier Score
27
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Badge
Star Commenter - Jul 2025
Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-99%)
Yes
100%
(+99%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
still chance can influence it
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than or equal to 59
0%
(0%)
Between 60 and 69, inclusive
9%
(0%)
Between 70 and 79, inclusive
20%
(0%)
Between 80 and 89, inclusive
71%
(0%)
More than or equal to 90
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
73%
(0%)
Yes
27%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Aug 25, 2025 09:00PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Jul 25, 2025 to Jan 25, 2026
100%
(0%)
No
Jul 25, 2025 to Jan 25, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than 250
0%
(0%)
Between 250 and 349, inclusive
0%
(0%)
Between 350 and 449, inclusive
72%
(0%)
Between 450 and 549, inclusive
28%
(0%)
More than or equal to 550
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
they just had a summit and seem to try to hold it together until Trump is done for
Why might you be wrong?
Situations can unpredictably escalate quickly, though it is hard to imagine such a scenario...