According to U.S. Customs and Border Protection, will there be at least 37 million inbound travelers to the U.S. in July 2025?

Started Jun 13, 2025 04:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2025 03:59AM UTC
Seasons

The United States frequently experiences large numbers of inbound travelers during the summer months. Recent monthly inbound traveler totals include: 
  • April 2025: 30,867,275 
  • March 2025: 30,996,915 
  • February 2025: 26,623,117 
Historical July data shows: 
  • July 2024: 37,551,806
  • July 2023: 36,220,035
  • July 2022: 31,429,836

Resolution Criteria: 
This question will be resolved as "Yes" using U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) data on Traveler and Conveyance Statistics. To see the number of inbound travelers to the U.S. in July 2025:
  • Navigate to the CBP Traveler and Conveyance Statistics page
  • In the data selection options, under “Measure Name” select “Travelers”(note: the page defaults to "Conveyances"). All other options should be “All”.
  • Locate the "FY Arrivals by Month" table
  • Find the figure reported for July 2025

NOTE: The table shows figures rounded to the hundred thousands. Hover over the number to see the actual number of travelers reported. This number must be equal to or greater than 37,000,000 for the question to resolve “Yes”. 

All entry methods are included (passenger vehicle, air, pedestrian, truck, etc.). The means of entry will not have any bearing on the resolution of the question.

Resolution Notes

CBP reported 35,572,522 inbound travelers to the U.S. in July 2025.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 6%
No 94%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 137
Average for questions older than 6 months: 61
Number of Forecasts 269
Average for questions older than 6 months: 233
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.055242
2.
-0.053067
3.
-0.046215
4.
-0.045213
5.
-0.044208

Consensus Trend

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