Will the EU import at least 15 billion cubic meters of natural gas from Russia in any quarter of 2025?
5 Forecasts
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(24 days from now)
Oct 06, 2025 06:56PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
| No | 100% | 99% | +1% | +0% |
Will at least one European country or the European Union (EU) collectively commit to providing Ukraine with HIMARS-compatible rocket artillery systems or functional substitutes by 31 December 2025?
5 Forecasts
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(24 days from now)
Oct 06, 2025 06:56PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 19% | -19% | -25% |
| No | 100% | 81% | +19% | +25% |
How much more military aid will European countries allocate to Ukraine compared to the U.S. between 24 January 2022 and 31 December 2025?
5 Forecasts
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(24 days from now)
Oct 06, 2025 06:56PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europe allocates the same amount or less than the U.S. | 0% | 0% | +0% | -2% |
| More than €0 but less than €10 billion | 100% | 1% | +99% | -1% |
| At least €10 billion but less than €20 billion | 0% | 5% | -5% | -1% |
| At least €20 billion but less than €30 billion | 0% | 51% | -51% | +8% |
| €30 billion or more | 0% | 43% | -43% | -5% |
Will the European “Coalition of the Willing” deploy forces to Ukraine in 2025?
5 Forecasts
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(24 days from now)
Oct 06, 2025 06:56PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
| No | 100% | 99% | +1% | +0% |
What will the average employment rate in OECD countries be in 2025?
5 Forecasts
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(24 days from now)
Oct 06, 2025 06:57PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 62% | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| More than or equal to 62% but less than 66% | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| More than or equal to 66% but less than 70% | 0% | 4% | -4% | -11% |
| More than or equal to 70% but less than 74% | 100% | 96% | +4% | +11% |
| More than or equal to 74% | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
Will the U.S. federal government enact legislation that substantively regulates or authorizes regulation of artificial intelligence systems or their development before 1 January 2026?
5 Forecasts
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(24 days from now)
Oct 06, 2025 06:57PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
| No | 100% | 99% | +1% | +0% |
Will the United States implement new or expanded export controls on advanced AI chips, cloud access to AI computing, and/or AI model weights in 2025?
5 Forecasts
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(24 days from now)
Oct 06, 2025 06:57PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 10% | -10% | -20% |
| No | 100% | 90% | +10% | +20% |
Will scientists be able to assemble a ribosome in vitro, composed entirely of synthetic proteins and RNA, without the use of cell-derived materials by 2030?
3 Forecasts
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Oct 06, 2025 06:57PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 36% | -36% | -2% |
| No | 100% | 64% | +36% | +2% |
Will any major international non-governmental research funders implement specific policies restricting or requiring oversight of mirror biology research by 31 December 2030?
3 Forecasts
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Oct 06, 2025 06:57PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 47% | -47% | +3% |
| No | 100% | 53% | +47% | -3% |
Will mirror reagents or products be added to the Australia Group export control list or national controlled biological agent lists in the U.S., UK, or Canada by 31 December 2032?
3 Forecasts
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Oct 06, 2025 06:57PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 29% | -29% | +1% |
| No | 100% | 71% | +29% | -1% |