They are not ready for Invasion and the negative impacts of trying outweigh the positive ones
-0.000463
Relative Brier Score
2
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Geopolitical Security,
Russia-Ukraine War
New Prediction
New Badge
New Prediction
This forecast expired on May 3, 2025 09:51PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Apr 3, 2025 to Oct 3, 2025
100%
No
Apr 3, 2025 to Oct 3, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
If I incorrectly predict the risk to reward ratio
Files
Why do you think you're right?
now/soon or far later
Why might you be wrong?
diplomacy takes very long