Confirmed previous forecast
-0.450246
Relative Brier Score
121
Forecasts
76
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 121 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 175 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 76 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
U.S.-China ,
Emerging Technology,
Geopolitical Security,
Research,
Industry
Most Active Topics:
Mission: AI Advancement,
EA College Tournament,
Iran Nuclear Program
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
1% ➛ 0% -- nearing deadline and no reason to expect a year-end announcement like that.