Trump is v concerned about China benefiting from the US in the AI race
0.445268
Relative Brier Score
3
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Geopolitical Security,
Russia-Ukraine War,
Emerging Technology,
Forecaster Submissions
Most Active Topics:
Emerging Tech - AI
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
75%
Yes
25%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
If China has a public failure with AI, and it reassures Trump that the US is clearly ahead in the AI race
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
91%
Less than 30 days
9%
30 days
0%
31-60 days
0%
61-90 days
0%
91 days or more
Why do you think you're right?
Putin isn’t interested in a ceasefire. Every day he gains more.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
If China pressures russia to end the war.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Targeting satellites will be viewed as an aggressive move. Countries will most likely only take this action if they feel it is necessary to ward off an aggressor
Why might you be wrong?
If AI develops fast and capable and is able to be leveraged by the Russian cyber squads then it might be a test target within this time frame