Only if he dies.
0.000004
Relative Brier Score
3
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
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No forecasts in the past 3 months
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Most Active Topics:
Geopolitical Security,
Russia-Ukraine War
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Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
99%
No
Files
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Probability
Answer
2%
Kharkiv
0%
Kyiv
0%
Odesa
There is very little probability that Russia will start any kind of offensive in the coming weeks, seeing as they are not in the best of positions. Adding to that is Trump trying to hold talks with both sides, Tucker being a regular in Moscow.
Files
Very doubtful, seeing as they are NATO.