80th
Accuracy Rank

Numa

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Introvert, Big C (See DISC management profiling), INTJ (See myers-briggs), family man, gamer, wannabe programmer, Humanist

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Forecasted Questions
Open Closed Resolved

Will the U.S. federal government enact legislation that substantively regulates or authorizes regulation of artificial intelligence systems or their development before 1 January 2026?

Forecast Count:
 6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 20, 2025 09:04PM UTC
(16 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 1%
No 100% 99%

Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 05, 2025 07:57PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 0% Dec 5, 2025 to Jun 5, 2026 Jan 5, 2026 0%
No 100% Dec 5, 2025 to Jun 5, 2026 Jan 5, 2026 100%

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 05, 2025 07:57PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 0% Dec 5, 2025 to Jun 5, 2026 Jan 5, 2026 1%
No 100% Dec 5, 2025 to Jun 5, 2026 Jan 5, 2026 99%
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