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New Prediction
If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
47%
(0%)
Less than 30 days
4%
(0%)
30 days
12%
(0%)
31-60 days
12%
(0%)
61-90 days
25%
(0%)
91 days or more
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
11%
(0%)
Moldova
1%
(0%)
Armenia
4%
(0%)
Georgia
1%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
47%
(0%)
Less than 30 days
4%
(0%)
30 days
12%
(0%)
31-60 days
12%
(0%)
61-90 days
25%
(0%)
91 days or more
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
11%
(0%)
Moldova
1%
(0%)
Armenia
4%
(0%)
Georgia
1%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
47%
(0%)
Less than 30 days
4%
(0%)
30 days
12%
(0%)
31-60 days
12%
(0%)
61-90 days
25%
(0%)
91 days or more
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
11%
(0%)
Moldova
1%
(0%)
Armenia
4%
(0%)
Georgia
1%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
