Confirmed previous forecast
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
13
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | 194 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 66 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 41 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
47%
(0%)
Less than 30 days
4%
(0%)
30 days
12%
(0%)
31-60 days
12%
(0%)
61-90 days
25%
(0%)
91 days or more
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
11%
(0%)
Moldova
1%
(0%)
Armenia
4%
(0%)
Georgia
1%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
47%
(0%)
Less than 30 days
4%
(0%)
30 days
12%
(0%)
31-60 days
12%
(0%)
61-90 days
25%
(0%)
91 days or more
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
11%
(0%)
Moldova
1%
(0%)
Armenia
4%
(0%)
Georgia
1%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
47%
(0%)
Less than 30 days
4%
(0%)
30 days
12%
(0%)
31-60 days
12%
(0%)
61-90 days
25%
(0%)
91 days or more
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
11%
(0%)
Moldova
1%
(0%)
Armenia
4%
(0%)
Georgia
1%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
