127th
Accuracy Rank

DanAGS

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2022 Season Stats

0.373236

Relative Brier Score

38

Forecasts

1

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 
Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 5 23 265 266 918
Comments 1 11 186 191 256
Questions Forecasted 4 20 44 45 96
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 9 9 89
 Definitions
New Prediction
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups globally be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
DanAGS made their 5th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
95% (+1%)
Less than $1 billion
5% (0%)
More than or equal to $1 billion but less than $1.2 billion
0% (-1%)
More than or equal to $1.2 billion but less than $1.4 billion
0% (0%)
More than or equal to $1.4 billion but less than $1.6 billion
0% (0%)
More than or equal to $1.6 billion
Why do you think you're right?

Updating based on recent data.

Files
Why might you be wrong?

N/A

Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups in the U.S. be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
DanAGS made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
48% (0%)
Less than $350 million
36% (0%)
More than or equal to $350 million but less than $450 million
10% (0%)
More than or equal to $450 million but less than $550 million
5% (0%)
More than or equal to $550 million but less than $650 million
1% (0%)
More than or equal to $650 million
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups globally be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
DanAGS made their 4th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
94% (0%)
Less than $1 billion
5% (0%)
More than or equal to $1 billion but less than $1.2 billion
1% (0%)
More than or equal to $1.2 billion but less than $1.4 billion
0% (0%)
More than or equal to $1.4 billion but less than $1.6 billion
0% (0%)
More than or equal to $1.6 billion
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
How many people will earn research doctorates in microbiology and immunology fields in the U.S. between the 2026 and 2030 academic years?
DanAGS made their 6th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
1% (0%)
Less than or equal to 4,499
65% (0%)
Between 4,500 and 4,999, inclusive
33% (0%)
Between 5,000 and 5,499, inclusive
1% (0%)
Between 5,500 and 5,999, inclusive
0% (0%)
More than or equal to 6,000
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
DanAGS earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
DanAGS made their 24th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
2% (+1%)
Estonia
1% (0%)
Latvia
1% (0%)
Lithuania
Why do you think you're right?

Increasing based on the news shared by @DKC 

Files
Why might you be wrong?

N/A

Files
New Badge
DanAGS earned a new badge:

Power Forecaster - Dec 2025

Earned for making 20+ forecasts in a month.
New Badge
DanAGS earned a new badge:

Star Commenter - Dec 2025

Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
New Prediction
When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?
DanAGS made their 15th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025
0% (0%)
1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025
0% (0%)
1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025
0% (0%)
1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025
100% (0%)
Not before 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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