Confirmed previous forecast
-0.04448
Relative Brier Score
169
Forecasts
7
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 6 | 27 | 325 | 324 | 1535 |
| Comments | 1 | 6 | 78 | 79 | 107 |
| Questions Forecasted | 6 | 16 | 25 | 22 | 97 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 65 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will a U.S. or U.S.-ally satellite be permanently disabled by another country or organization before 1 January 2027?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Show more
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(+10%)
Yes
85%
(-10%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
6%
(0%)
Yes
94%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Moldova
0%
(0%)
Armenia
1%
(0%)
Georgia
0%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
90%
(0%)
U.S. Entity
65%
(0%)
Non-U.S. Entity
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Estonia
0%
(0%)
Latvia
0%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files