Forecasted Questions
Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 31, 2025 07:46PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Oct 31, 2025 07:46PM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 14% | 3% | +11% | +0% |
| No | 86% | 97% | -11% | +0% |
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups globally be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 31, 2025 07:48PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Oct 31, 2025 07:48PM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $1 billion | 42% | 85% | -43% | +25% |
| More than or equal to $1 billion but less than $1.2 billion | 47% | 11% | +36% | -19% |
| More than or equal to $1.2 billion but less than $1.4 billion | 10% | 3% | +7% | -6% |
| More than or equal to $1.4 billion but less than $1.6 billion | 1% | 1% | +0% | -1% |
| More than or equal to $1.6 billion | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups in the EU, UK, and Switzerland be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 02, 2025 08:43PM UTC
(13 days ago)
Dec 02, 2025 08:43PM UTC
(13 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $350 million | 35% | 28% | +7% | +2% |
| More than or equal to $350 million but less than $500 million | 54% | 45% | +9% | +1% |
| More than or equal to $500 million but less than $650 million | 10% | 22% | -12% | -2% |
| More than or equal to $650 million but less than $800 million | 1% | 5% | -4% | -1% |
| More than or equal to $800 million | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test within the next six months?
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(17 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(17 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 02, 2025 08:44PM UTC
(13 days ago)
Dec 02, 2025 08:44PM UTC
(13 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | Dec 2, 2025 to Jun 2, 2026 | Jan 2, 2026 | 1% | +0% | -1% |
| No | 99% | Dec 2, 2025 to Jun 2, 2026 | Jan 2, 2026 | 99% | +0% | +1% |
When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(17 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(17 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 02, 2025 08:44PM UTC
(13 days ago)
Dec 02, 2025 08:44PM UTC
(13 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025 | 0% | 0% | +0% | 0% |
| 1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025 | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| 1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025 | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| 1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025 | 2% | 2% | +0% | +0% |
| Not before 2026 | 98% | 98% | +0% | +0% |
Will the European “Coalition of the Willing” deploy forces to Ukraine in 2025?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(17 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(17 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 02, 2025 08:44PM UTC
(13 days ago)
Dec 02, 2025 08:44PM UTC
(13 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 1% | +0% | 0% |
| No | 99% | 99% | +0% | 0% |
Will the EU import at least 15 billion cubic meters of natural gas from Russia in any quarter of 2025?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(17 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(17 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 02, 2025 08:44PM UTC
(13 days ago)
Dec 02, 2025 08:44PM UTC
(13 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
| No | 99% | 99% | +0% | +0% |
Will at least one European country or the European Union (EU) collectively commit to providing Ukraine with HIMARS-compatible rocket artillery systems or functional substitutes by 31 December 2025?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(17 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(17 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 02, 2025 08:44PM UTC
(13 days ago)
Dec 02, 2025 08:44PM UTC
(13 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 15% | 17% | -2% | -7% |
| No | 85% | 83% | +2% | +7% |
How much more military aid will European countries allocate to Ukraine compared to the U.S. between 24 January 2022 and 31 December 2025?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(17 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(17 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 02, 2025 08:44PM UTC
(13 days ago)
Dec 02, 2025 08:44PM UTC
(13 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europe allocates the same amount or less than the U.S. | 0% | 1% | -1% | +1% |
| More than €0 but less than €10 billion | 3% | 1% | +2% | +0% |
| At least €10 billion but less than €20 billion | 9% | 6% | +3% | +1% |
| At least €20 billion but less than €30 billion | 63% | 49% | +14% | -1% |
| €30 billion or more | 25% | 43% | -18% | +0% |
How many people will earn research doctorates in microbiology and immunology fields in the U.S. between the 2026 and 2030 academic years?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Aug 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 02, 2025 08:44PM UTC
(13 days ago)
Dec 02, 2025 08:44PM UTC
(13 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 4,499 | 20% | 5% | +15% | -3% |
| Between 4,500 and 4,999, inclusive | 22% | 12% | +10% | +0% |
| Between 5,000 and 5,499, inclusive | 47% | 76% | -29% | +2% |
| Between 5,500 and 5,999, inclusive | 8% | 6% | +2% | +1% |
| More than or equal to 6,000 | 3% | 1% | +2% | +0% |