.
0.110909
Relative Brier Score
14
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | 112 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | 14 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 20 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-19%)
Yes
99%
(+19%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files
New Badge
Star Commenter - Jun 2025
Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(-25%)
Yes
95%
(+25%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-30%)
Yes
100%
(+30%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
Yes
95%
No
Why do you think you're right?
.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
80%
No
Why do you think you're right?
.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
Yes
70%
No
Why do you think you're right?
.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
.
Why might you be wrong?
.