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Forecasted Questions

Will mirror organisms be formally addressed as a biosecurity concern in official proceedings of at least one of the following international forums (BWC Review Conference, G7/G20 Health/Science ministerial meetings, WHO forums) by 31 December 2030?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 31, 2025 11:49PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 70% 63%
No 30% 37%

Will scientists successfully create a synthetic cell from chemically synthesized components by 1 January 2035?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 31, 2025 11:53PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 10% 12%
No 90% 88%

Will any major international non-governmental research funders implement specific policies restricting or requiring oversight of mirror biology research by 31 December 2030?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 31, 2025 11:57PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 45% 45%
No 55% 55%

Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 07, 2025 09:21PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 7% 3%
No 93% 97%

Will the O-RAN Alliance’s specifications be integrated into 3GPP before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 07, 2025 09:25PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications 7% 3%
No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP 88% 96%
No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP 5% 2%

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 23, 2025 11:03PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Estonia 1% 3%
Latvia 1% 2%
Lithuania 1% 2%

Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 23, 2025 11:04PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Moldova 3% 5%
Armenia 1% 2%
Georgia 5% 3%
Kazakhstan 1% 1%

Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 16, 2025 12:50AM UTC
(4 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 17% 16%
No 83% 84%

What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups in the EU, UK, and Switzerland be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 16, 2025 01:34AM UTC
(4 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $350 million 33% 33%
More than or equal to $350 million but less than $500 million 37% 45%
More than or equal to $500 million but less than $650 million 15% 17%
More than or equal to $650 million but less than $800 million 10% 4%
More than or equal to $800 million 5% 1%

Will scientists be able to assemble a ribosome in vitro, composed entirely of synthetic proteins and RNA, without the use of cell-derived materials by 2030?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 16, 2025 01:54AM UTC
(4 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 45% 36%
No 55% 64%
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